The Delta DuoWilson does the data · MC does the vibes

The Kicking Ladder

Which stadiums are actually hard to kick in — and which ones just have the reputation.

24,307 field goals and 57,439 punts from nflverse play-by-play, 2002-2025, across 36 venues. Every kick is scored against a distance-and-season model refit for each venue with that venue's own kicks held out, so no stadium is graded against itself.

-6.5 pp
Gillette Stadium — hardest venue in the NFL
visiting kickers made 79.3% against 85.8% expected, over 363 attempts
10 of 36
venues land within a point of league expectation
most stadiums have no kicking personality at all — the reputations belong to a handful
r = +0.64
venue difficulty vs how often the home team tries a 50-yarder
teams price the building into their own fourth-down math (p < 0.0001)
Show:
every venue, 2002–2025

The Kicking Ladder

Harder than expectedWithin 1 ppEasier than expected

Actual minus expected field goal percentage for VISITING kickers, so no venue is graded on its home team's kicker. Expectation comes from a distance-and-season model refit for each venue with that venue's own kicks held out. Bars left of zero are harder than the league, right of zero easier; venues within a point of expectation are drawn in neutral chalk. 36 venues shown.

The Delta Duonflverse play-by-play · blocked kicks excluded
the market is efficient

Teams Price the Building In

Each dot is a venue. Across the 36 venues shown, the harder a stadium is on visiting kickers, the less often its own home team attempts a 50-yard field goal on fourth down — r = +0.64, p < 0.0001. New England sits at the far end of both axes: the hardest venue in the league, and a home team that attempted 6.9% of its long chances against a league home rate of 18.4%.

The Delta Duo4th down, 50–62 yd attempt available, win probability 5–95%
2002–2025 · 211 games

Gillette Stadium

Field goals
Visiting kickers79.3%-6.5 pp
Home kickers87.0%-1.1 pp
Home minus visitor—+5.4 pp
Rank on visiting kickers—1 of 36
Visiting kickers by distance
Inside 30 ydsn=98+1.1 pp
30–39 ydsn=102-8.1 pp
40–49 ydsn=120-11.5 pp
50+ ydsn=43-5.9 pp
Ball flight & behaviour
Gross punt distance-0.90 yds
Kickoff carry-0.51 yds
Touchback rate51.4%
Visiting kickers in 15+ mph wind-13.7 pp
Misses that were wide, not short72.0%
Home team's 50+ attempt rate6.9%
Direction-of-play split-6.6 pp

Punt and kickoff figures are yards above or below what the same kick is worth elsewhere. The direction-of-play split compares visiting kickers in Q2+Q4 against Q1+Q3 — teams swap ends each quarter, so a large split points at one end of the stadium being worse than the other.

Pick any venue in the table below to load its profile here. Punt distance and kickoff carry are aerodynamic probes — nobody is aiming at uprights — so they test whether a venue is genuinely hard on ball flight rather than merely unlucky.

The Delta DuoNE · outdoors · fieldturf
the table view

Every Venue, Every Measure

Sort by:
VenueTeamRoofSeasonsVis. attVis. FG%vs expHome vs expGapPuntHome 50+
Gillette StadiumNEoutdoors2002–202536379.3%-6.5 pp-1.1 pp+5.4 pp-0.90 yds6.9%
Soldier FieldCHIoutdoors2003–202535582.5%-4.1 pp-0.9 pp+3.2 pp-1.53 yds11.9%
Cleveland Browns StadiumCLEoutdoors2002–202535681.2%-3.9 pp-3.3 pp+0.6 pp-0.77 yds11.3%
Oakland-Alameda County StadiumLVoutdoors2002–201927881.3%-3.7 pp-0.8 pp+2.9 pp+0.92 yds25.0%
Lambeau FieldGBoutdoors2002–202534382.2%-2.9 pp-3.0 pp-0.1 pp-1.08 yds10.7%
Levi's® StadiumSFoutdoors2014–202517383.8%-2.9 pp+5.0 pp+7.9 pp+0.16 yds23.9%
Commanders FieldWASoutdoors2002–202537183.0%-2.5 pp-4.8 pp-2.3 pp-0.55 yds9.0%
Giants StadiumNYG/NYJoutdoors2002–200923081.7%-2.3 pp-1.7 pp+0.6 pp-1.83 yds8.5%
Raymond James StadiumTBoutdoors2002–202536683.6%-2.0 pp-3.1 pp-1.1 pp+0.05 yds19.7%
Lumen FieldSEAoutdoors2002–202539483.0%-1.9 pp+2.0 pp+3.9 pp-0.36 yds13.6%
Candlestick ParkSFoutdoors2002–201317183.0%-1.9 pp+2.1 pp+4.1 pp+0.21 yds16.4%
Acrisure StadiumPIToutdoors2002–202533883.7%-1.5 pp+0.9 pp+2.4 pp-1.15 yds17.9%
Hard Rock StadiumMIAoutdoors2002–202538783.5%-1.1 pp-0.4 pp+0.8 pp+1.12 yds17.2%
Highmark StadiumBUFoutdoors2002–202533084.8%-1.1 pp-4.4 pp-3.3 pp-0.95 yds14.3%
Qualcomm StadiumLACoutdoors2002–201619984.4%-1.0 pp+0.3 pp+1.3 pp+0.12 yds13.4%
State Farm StadiumARIclosed2006–202533485.0%-0.6 pp-1.4 pp-0.7 pp+0.96 yds16.3%
Ford FieldDETdome2002–202536483.2%-0.1 pp+5.5 pp+5.6 pp+0.33 yds26.3%
Lucas Oil StadiumINDclosed2008–202528684.6%-0.1 pp+3.2 pp+3.3 pp+0.72 yds28.6%
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKCoutdoors2002–202537884.7%-0.1 pp-1.5 pp-1.4 pp+0.30 yds16.7%
Paycor StadiumCINoutdoors2002–202538087.1%0.0 pp-0.9 pp-0.8 pp-0.68 yds14.8%
MetLife StadiumNYG/NYJoutdoors2010–202555086.5%0.0 pp-1.9 pp-1.9 pp-0.26 yds18.8%
Nissan StadiumTENoutdoors2002–202537386.6%0.0 pp+1.9 pp+1.9 pp+0.73 yds10.2%
Bank of America StadiumCARoutdoors2002–202538285.3%+0.3 pp+3.4 pp+3.1 pp+0.35 yds19.1%
M&T Bank StadiumBALoutdoors2002–202536685.2%+0.5 pp+3.9 pp+3.4 pp-0.10 yds21.3%
Lincoln Financial FieldPHIoutdoors2003–202531986.5%+1.2 pp0.0 pp-1.2 pp-1.14 yds12.5%
EverBank StadiumJAXoutdoors2002–202535086.3%+1.5 pp+0.1 pp-1.4 pp+0.40 yds18.9%
Caesars SuperdomeNOdome2002–202536886.4%+1.6 pp-2.6 pp-4.2 pp-0.31 yds21.7%
Georgia DomeATLdome2002–201619985.4%+2.0 pp+1.0 pp-1.0 pp+0.65 yds13.7%
U.S. Bank StadiumMINdome2016–202518987.3%+2.2 pp+0.3 pp-2.0 pp-0.22 yds34.0%
AT&T StadiumDALclosed2009–202526388.2%+2.4 pp+4.5 pp+2.0 pp+0.74 yds34.7%
Mall of America FieldMINdome2002–201317084.7%+2.7 pp+6.4 pp+3.7 pp+0.45 yds14.1%
NRG StadiumHOUclosed2002–202537186.0%+2.8 pp+0.1 pp-2.7 pp+0.58 yds21.6%
Edward Jones DomeLAdome2002–201522184.6%+3.0 pp+5.8 pp+2.8 pp+1.32 yds34.9%
Empower Field at Mile HighDENoutdoors2002–202539986.2%+3.2 pp+1.9 pp-1.3 pp+1.94 yds31.7%
SoFi StadiumLA/LACdome2020–202520789.9%+3.5 pp+1.1 pp-2.4 pp-0.02 yds23.1%
Mercedes-Benz StadiumATLclosed2017–202516091.2%+5.4 pp+3.6 pp-1.8 pp-0.39 yds40.0%

Sorted by the selected column. Click any row to load that venue above. Positive means easier than the rest of the league.

The Delta Duo24,307 field goals and 57,439 punts, 2002-2025
read this before you quote it

What the numbers can and cannot say

Venues differ; home-field kicking edges mostly do not. Across 36 venues the spread of visiting-kicker penalties is larger than chance allows (p = 0.006), so some stadiums really are harder than others. But the spread of home-minus-visitor gaps is not (p = 0.202, mean +0.8 pp, sd 2.9 pp). Difficulty is real. Asymmetry is mostly noise.

Someone has to finish last. With 36 venues in the pool, one of them will look extreme by luck alone. Only Gillette Stadium survives correction for having searched all of them.

Sample sizes are small. A venue gets roughly 20 visiting field goal attempts a season. Even the biggest sample here is 550 kicks across two decades, and the distance-band and direction splits divide that further. Treat single cells as suggestive, not settled.

Blocked kicks are excluded. A block is a line-of-scrimmage failure rather than an aiming one, so it says nothing about the venue.

The Delta Duowe don't draft players. we draft deltas.